This article from the Atlantic
outlines why Democrats in Pennsylvania are voting Trump and likely impacts
it might have on the election. Even though Clinton is up in the polls, there
are two factors that could be very likely to flip the vote Republican and make
for an interesting day at the polls for a key swing state. The first of which,
is that of last year, over half of the voting population never showed up to the
polls last year and if only 10% of that population voted this year, it could
have a profound impact according to Paul Sracic, a political scientist at
Youngstown State. As further outlined in the article, voter behavior has
ever-increasingly shifted Republican behind the political party’s belief in
energy production in Pennsylvania. The difference this election is the intensity
of vote and the realization that many plants will be likely to shut down if
Clinton is elected. This is a large portion of the voter opinion, and it doesn’t
matter this election if this population of voters normally affiliate themselves
with the Democratic or Republican party in these areas. For a means of
livelihood, they want to see the economy improve or at the very least stay the
same, at whatever cost. Since these Democrats might likely flip to Republican,
it could greatly swing the vote.
Even after an embarrassing week for Trump, it’s likely not
going to reflect in the polls in Pennsylvania. Voter intensity is so strong to
retain their means of livelihood that it could make more people show up to
vote, which doesn’t reflect in the polls. However, this behavior is stronger in
Western Pennsylvania and another key area some people believe will have a
greater effect is in suburban areas outside of Philadelphia and Pittsburg.
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/09/why-democrats-in-western-pennsylvania-are-voting-trump/499577/
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