This article highlights the 2005 Trump tape that surfaced
this week and likely voter reactions. This article specifically highlights that
the 2005 tape in which he made extremely lewd and belittling remarks about
women had a stronger impact among women’s opinions of Trump. This may seem
obvious, but has detrimental impacts on Trump’s campaign specifically in
Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania is basically split in that urban areas in major
cities are heavily Democrat and rural areas heavily Republican. Listed in
previous articles, a duel strategy is key to winning Pennsylvania—holding onto
party-dominated areas, while gaining the suburban swing vote. As the article
notes, Trump was already facing a deficit in women voters, particularly women
with college degrees. This is significant because suburban areas (Pennsylvania’s
swing vote) tend to have higher income and education levels.
In the article, a poll done by CBS showed that 42% among
males and 53% among females changed their views of Trump after the release of
the 2005 tape. Although the article focuses on noting the difference between
gender reactions, I would rather like to highlight the effects it will have on
the suburban swing vote.
Before the tape surfaced, CBS polls already showed Clinton
with 48% of the vote, besting Trump’s 40% among likely voters. With negative
trends in educated women in support of Trump, a victory in the suburban area
would be extremely unlikely, and therefore, a Republican victory in
Pennsylvania would be highly unlikely.
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-gender-gap-in-views-on-trumps-2005-tape/
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