Tuesday, September 13, 2016

Pennsylvania as a Swing State

This piece, published by U.S. News and World Report, goes into depth regarding the focus of both the Democratic and Republican candidates on key swing states throughout the United States, with a particular focus on what are stated as two of the most contested, Ohio and Pennsylvania. Since the conclusion of the presidential primaries, no two states have seen a higher number of presidential visit days than Ohio or Pennsylvania, with a combined 13 and 10 respectively. As stated in the article, the significance of these swing states is based on a history of incredibly tight elections, making them desirable states to campaign in. In simple terms, it makes much more sense for a candidate to campaign more intensely in states that have a much higher percentage chance of victory for them and their backing party, since both candidates have close to equal support from voters of both parties; there is literally a chance that these states can “swing” an election in one direction or another based on their popular support in a few given states with nearly equal voter numbers for each party. Swing states aren't necessarily always a given grouping either, and can see shifts where bias will go from being very minimal for a state to largely tilted in one parties favor, in which case that state would no longer qualify for the definition as a swing state. 

Pennsylvania has historically favored the Democratic nominee, and as of this writing continues to favor the Democratic nominee according to polls from both Quinnipiac University and the Wall Street Journal.


Post by Dan Hamann

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